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Red50
42224.0
23660.2
Blue135
56950.2
31438.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987505015020050135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
Unranked
60.23.4
67.263.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
569
Unranked
50.24.3
49.553.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
Unranked
24.04.6
28.724.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
314
Unranked
38.24.3
28.432.7
Auto
Teleop
End