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Red130
86842.1
135946.9
Blue20
149315.9
13527.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9241015020025013020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
Unranked
46.93.3
46.649.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
135
Unranked
27.52.0
30.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
Unranked
42.14.0
40.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
1493
Unranked
15.92.0
15.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End