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Red60
28031.7
31422.6
Blue15
22612.0
24915.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463501001506015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
31.71.9
23.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
249
Unranked
15.22.7
16.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
Unranked
22.61.9
21.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
226
Unranked
12.02.7
19.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End