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Red45
22612.0
101031.6
Blue165
32233.8
49440.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4345020608010012014045165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1010
Unranked
31.60.2
31.331.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
494
Unranked
40.915.0
25.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
Unranked
12.00.2
11.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
322
Unranked
33.815.0
18.733.8
Auto
Teleop
End