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Red70
20122.6
91021.2
Blue45
83524.8
86213.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35370102030506070807045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
22.64.4
18.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
835
Unranked
24.81.1
23.724.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
21.24.4
16.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
862
Unranked
13.81.1
12.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End