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Red30
148122.9
90417.4
Blue45
24915.2
124139.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304101001502002503045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
Unranked
22.90.2
18.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
1241
Unranked
39.90.6
25.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
17.40.2
12.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
249
Unranked
15.20.6
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End