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Red40
4925.0
6525.2
Blue25
31422.6
90417.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373102060801001201401604025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65
Unranked
25.20.5
22.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
314
Unranked
22.60.8
22.621.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49
Unranked
25.00.5
13.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
904
Unranked
17.40.8
9.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End