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Red70
29248.5
6642.8
Blue10
32233.8
54826.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060801007010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
48.53.5
21.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
322
Unranked
33.84.1
21.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66
Unranked
42.83.5
20.824.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
548
Unranked
26.14.1
20.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End