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Red30
2752.4
39716.9
Blue55
86831.2
45134.2
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575902040801001201401603055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
52.43.5
41.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
451
Unranked
34.20.4
29.128.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
Unranked
16.93.5
17.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
868
Unranked
31.20.4
29.028.6
Auto
Teleop
End