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Red55
124139.9
132213.0
Blue10
18211.1
148923.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533202040801001201401605510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
39.90.5
33.834.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
1489
Unranked
23.33.1
21.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1322
Unranked
13.00.5
17.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
182
Unranked
11.13.1
13.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End