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Red50
148923.3
118914.5
Blue45
51515.0
18211.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32270501001502002505045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1489
Unranked
23.32.3
18.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
515
Unranked
15.02.2
17.019.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1189
Unranked
14.52.3
13.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
182
Unranked
11.12.2
10.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End