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Red90
6642.8
46933.3
Blue15
101031.6
4706.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764501001502009015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
42.82.2
40.642.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
1010
Unranked
31.64.1
35.431.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
Unranked
33.32.2
31.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
470
Unranked
6.44.1
12.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End