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Red40
83024.5
24023.9
Blue25
18211.1
148122.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533501001504025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
Unranked
24.51.4
25.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1481
Unranked
22.91.5
24.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
240
Unranked
23.91.4
25.323.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
182
Unranked
11.11.5
12.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End