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Quarterfinal 1-12004 Midwest Regional
Red190
29263.0
7146.0
38343.4
Blue165
23436.7
46937.4
24724.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18190050150200250300350400190165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
63.00.5
67.5→68.0
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 25.6
469
Unranked
37.41.6
37.8→39.4
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Teleop—
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Second
71
Unranked
46.00.7
52.9→53.7
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Teleop—
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red by 9.3
234
Unranked
36.71.6
37.0→38.7
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Teleop—
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Third
383
Unranked
43.40.7
50.4→51.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.9
247
Unranked
24.51.6
24.9→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—