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Qual 182004 Midwest Regional
Red15
52553.5
22629.8
Blue25
23436.7
10111.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507101001501525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
Unranked
53.54.7
30.7→26.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.8
234
Unranked
36.74.0
47.1→43.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
226
Unranked
29.84.1
21.7→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.4
101
Unranked
11.45.4
21.4→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—