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Red40
64848.2
88030.5
Blue90
136529.9
26956.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445202060801001201401604090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
Unranked
48.20.6
16.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
269
Unranked
56.44.5
33.838.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
880
Unranked
30.50.6
28.427.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1365
Unranked
29.94.9
17.322.2
Auto
Teleop
End