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Red30
100027.9
53731.3
Blue65
46937.4
13528.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455402060801001203065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
Unranked
31.31.9
31.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
469
Unranked
37.41.4
32.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
27.91.3
14.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
135
Unranked
28.61.4
20.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End