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Red70
22629.8
8142.3
Blue25
90412.8
103512.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462701001502007025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81
Unranked
42.33.2
26.429.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.5
904
Unranked
12.80.4
14.714.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
Unranked
29.82.6
17.720.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
1035
Unranked
12.60.3
14.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End