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Red70
8142.3
90412.8
Blue55
105521.6
93037.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435301001502002507055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81
Unranked
42.33.3
29.632.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
930
Unranked
37.80.4
32.933.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
12.82.4
14.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1055
Unranked
21.60.4
18.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End