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Red150
21731.5
26956.4
Blue50
106416.8
129721.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7022040608010012014015050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
Unranked
56.48.5
39.447.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.9
1297
Unranked
21.62.3
17.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
31.57.1
25.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
1064
Unranked
16.82.9
9.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End