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Red180
7146.0
100027.9
Blue100
39730.1
53731.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847406080100120160180100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
46.016.5
33.550.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
537
Unranked
31.35.3
30.035.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
27.99.9
14.524.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
397
Unranked
30.14.9
17.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End