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Red110
93037.8
21731.5
Blue25
38343.4
103512.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676420408010012014011025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
Unranked
37.85.5
33.338.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
383
Unranked
43.44.9
47.642.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
31.53.3
32.936.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
1035
Unranked
12.62.9
16.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End