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Red40
93140.9
39121.5
Blue120
22629.8
46129.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57340208010012014016040120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
Unranked
40.91.8
35.233.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
226
Unranked
29.89.7
12.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
391
Unranked
21.51.8
19.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
461
Unranked
29.89.7
24.534.3
Auto
Teleop
End