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Red100
52553.5
38343.4
Blue135
13528.6
26956.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9563050150200250100135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
Unranked
53.51.1
48.549.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
269
Unranked
56.45.7
49.855.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
Unranked
43.41.1
42.743.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
135
Unranked
28.65.7
17.022.7
Auto
Teleop
End