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Red60
11157.6
90412.8
Blue125
13528.6
39730.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7843010015060125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
57.61.1
60.359.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
397
Unranked
30.15.9
24.230.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
12.81.1
13.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
135
Unranked
28.65.9
22.728.6
Auto
Teleop
End