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Red80
116325.8
8142.3
Blue125
22629.8
10738.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6759020408010012014016080125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81
Unranked
42.31.7
42.344.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
107
Unranked
38.78.1
35.343.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1163
Unranked
25.81.7
24.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
226
Unranked
29.84.9
25.029.8
Auto
Teleop
End