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Red50
129721.6
39121.5
Blue60
130631.8
103512.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140203050605060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1297
Unranked
21.60.7
20.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
1306
Unranked
31.82.4
29.331.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
391
Unranked
21.51.1
20.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1035
Unranked
12.61.5
11.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End