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Red110
29263.0
7146.0
38343.4
Blue120
6535.4
64848.2
44732.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163109050200250300350400110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
63.01.2
64.263.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
648
Unranked
48.20.2
47.848.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71
Unranked
46.01.8
47.846.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
65
Unranked
35.40.1
35.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
383
Unranked
43.41.8
45.343.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
447
Unranked
32.30.1
32.032.1
Auto
Teleop
End