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Red130
2836.6
56947.5
8105.5
Blue15
54528.7
101922.8
26331.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109505015020013015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
569
Unranked
47.50.6
53.954.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
263
Unranked
31.82.5
36.233.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
28
Unranked
36.60.6
43.043.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
545
Unranked
28.72.7
33.630.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
810
Unranked
5.50.6
11.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
1019
Unranked
22.82.5
27.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End