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Red25
87036.1
26331.8
Blue85
53334.3
35222.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67310501001502002502585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
Unranked
36.14.8
31.126.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
533
Unranked
34.36.2
19.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
263
Unranked
31.84.8
32.027.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
352
Unranked
22.66.2
15.822.0
Auto
Teleop
End