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Red100
101922.8
56947.5
Blue15
41721.8
87133.7
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6161020408010012014010015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
569
Unranked
47.54.8
42.247.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
871
Unranked
33.75.7
31.225.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1019
Unranked
22.84.8
19.124.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
417
Unranked
21.85.7
29.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End