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Red15
56416.5
41721.8
Blue65
120325.1
54528.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33640501001501565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
417
Unranked
21.82.4
22.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
545
Unranked
28.70.6
31.131.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
564
Unranked
16.52.4
13.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
1203
Unranked
25.10.5
29.229.7
Auto
Teleop
End