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Red35
26331.8
52717.4
Blue100
111437.0
56619.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6664020408010012014035100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
31.83.3
38.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1114
Unranked
37.02.7
44.947.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
527
Unranked
17.43.3
26.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
566
Unranked
19.43.9
19.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End