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Red35
101922.8
35222.6
Blue55
28733.2
120325.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526601001502003555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1019
Unranked
22.81.9
29.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
287
Unranked
33.20.7
35.134.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
352
Unranked
22.61.9
24.422.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1203
Unranked
25.11.0
29.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End