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Red100
53334.3
146821.5
Blue50
51425.2
56318.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643020608010012010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
Unranked
34.35.4
29.935.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
514
Unranked
25.20.7
24.525.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1468
Unranked
21.55.4
16.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
563
Unranked
18.80.6
19.219.8
Auto
Teleop
End