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Red65
31154.5
51425.2
Blue70
41721.8
87036.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86260501001502006570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
54.51.4
58.557.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
870
Unranked
36.14.7
18.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
Unranked
25.21.8
20.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
417
Unranked
21.84.7
14.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End