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Red85
144927.8
137038.6
Blue15
131922.1
113314.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704901001502008515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1370
Unranked
38.62.1
42.344.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
1319
Unranked
22.14.6
32.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1449
Unranked
27.82.1
25.627.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
1133
Unranked
14.94.6
19.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End