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Red30
142021.3
5326.6
Blue55
119512.1
16537.0
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953020801001201403055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53
Unranked
26.61.2
24.523.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
165
Unranked
37.00.4
32.532.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1420
Unranked
21.31.3
16.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
1195
Unranked
12.10.4
19.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End