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Red65
146521.5
30342.9
Blue35
51017.4
33934.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595301001502006535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
42.90.7
38.739.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
339
Unranked
34.12.2
32.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1465
Unranked
21.50.8
19.520.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
510
Unranked
17.42.3
21.218.8
Auto
Teleop
End