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Red120
144927.8
108936.1
Blue30
10489.4
112314.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4834020608010012014016012030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
36.17.4
31.939.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
1123
Unranked
14.60.7
17.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1449
Unranked
27.89.2
14.623.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
1048
Unranked
9.40.7
18.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End