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Red55
139127.6
11620.2
Blue95
118418.4
131922.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493001001502005595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
Unranked
27.61.1
28.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1319
Unranked
22.17.9
23.331.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
116
Unranked
20.21.0
18.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1184
Unranked
18.47.9
8.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End