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Red5
111111.7
76812.1
Blue60
16537.0
65131.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27570100150560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
Unranked
12.12.7
20.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.9
165
Unranked
37.00.8
31.732.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
Unranked
11.73.1
9.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
651
Unranked
31.20.8
22.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End