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Red40
14131.7
138918.3
Blue40
59615.0
12512.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49280204060801001201401604040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
Unranked
31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
596
Unranked
15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1389
Unranked
18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
125
Unranked
12.9
Auto
Teleop
End