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Red20
111111.7
142021.3
Blue50
11620.2
108343.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256002040801001202050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1420
Unranked
21.31.2
19.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
1083
Unranked
43.70.5
38.337.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1111
Unranked
11.71.2
9.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
116
Unranked
20.20.6
18.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End