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Red40
30342.9
44934.5
Blue25
34812.9
121816.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86280501502002503004025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
42.93.0
47.544.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.4
1218
Unranked
16.61.2
17.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
449
Unranked
34.55.0
32.727.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
348
Unranked
12.91.2
17.316.1
Auto
Teleop
End