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Red70
2539.8
36929.2
Blue5
142021.3
144612.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6432050100150705

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
39.80.7
40.140.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
1420
Unranked
21.33.8
18.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
Unranked
29.21.2
20.721.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
1446
Unranked
12.03.8
17.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End