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Red40
1650.7
10489.4
Blue80
111111.7
22249.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655301001504080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
50.71.8
51.349.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
222
Unranked
49.53.2
45.748.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1048
Unranked
9.43.0
12.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1111
Unranked
11.73.2
8.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End