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Red125
22249.5
30342.9
29129.6
Blue110
1131.9
12227.3
36929.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12880050100150200250125110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
49.50.1
49.950.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
11
Unranked
31.90.6
30.931.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
Unranked
42.90.0
43.343.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
369
Unranked
29.21.0
27.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
291
Unranked
29.60.0
29.930.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
122
Unranked
27.30.6
26.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End