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Red60
39742.8
90419.6
Blue30
3524.1
45127.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466001001502002506030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
42.80.9
30.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
451
Unranked
27.13.6
34.230.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
19.60.9
17.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
35
Unranked
24.13.3
24.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End