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Red35
103721.8
51544.8
Blue105
102429.3
54132.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4756010015020035105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
515
Unranked
44.81.0
29.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
541
Unranked
32.16.3
27.333.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1037
Unranked
21.81.3
17.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1024
Unranked
29.36.3
27.733.9
Auto
Teleop
End